How To Implement A Breakout Trading Strategy

Of the many different approaches designed to trade on Foreign exchange, breakout trading strategies remain one of the most popular. It offers both the potential for high profits to be made and provides a relatively simple approach to trading which is easily implemented.

The concept behind them is essentially a momentum backed approach to trading. It looks to capture accelerated price movements which are back by momentum.

When a breakout occurs momentum is anticipated to propel the price ahead away from the preceding range of price movement. It is this move that the trader is seeking to capture.

There are many ways to reference the breakout level. Typically chart patterns and  previous highs or lows can be used to define the boundaries of price action.

In fact just about any identified range that has constrained prior price action can be used, an example being a box breakout strategy which may indicate where a break may occur.

There are several benefit to adopting this approach to the markets. Perhaps the key one is that it allows the trader to prepare themselves prior to a move actually happening. Stop and profit levels can be worked out calmly and placed prior to any anticipated move.

When To Trade Forex Breakouts

Breakouts occur in all market environments and across all time frames. This makes them a very flexible strategy to use. They will work best when both the volume in the market and volatility are high. To be successful they require market momentum. Once sufficient momentum as achieved the price will be propelled beyond it’s prior range.

A common time to look for breakouts is at the opening of a Forex trading session. At this point in the day the conditions required for a successful execution of this method tend to be present. Market volume and  volatility tend to be at their highest point in the day or after news. At these points the level of activity in the market is more likely to see strong moves attracting significant follow though momentum.

The market will generally move into a new range of trading following this move. This will often signal the starting point for a new trend. This is another reason as to why this approach is important to take note of.

This method is flexible and can be used on any currency pair in conjunction with any chart time frame, from 5 minutes through to even daily or weekly charts.

How To Trade

The concept here is simple to understand which makes it ideal for new traders.

You buy the market when it moves beyond an identified resistance level and sell the market when it moves through a prior support level.

However nothing is quite so simple in practice. Markets don’t always move as expected. If you want to give yourself the best chance of implementing this strategy then you should look to observe some basic rules. These will help to ensure that you back only the strongest moves and will ensure you exit your positions quickly if the expected follow through momentum does not occur.

Here are some common rules that are particularly applicable for this strategy:

  • Trade at the best market times to give yourself the chance to capture strong moves
  • You can plan your trade before it happens, including setting our take profit and stop levels.
  • Also be sure to check for upcoming market news releases and data that may scupper an otherwise good trading opportunity.
  • Set a good risk versus reward. Keep your stops tight and don’t exit the move too early
  • Don’t enter the market too early. Wait for confirmation of the price action before opening orders.
  • Place a tight stop loss on your orders. If the move doesn’t follow through (which on some occasions it won’t) you need to exit with the minimum loss in order to maximize profitability

Breakout Trading Strategy Example

The following example shows the GBP/USD at the opening of the London markets.

In this example the overnight price action of the currency pair is used to identify the zone of interest. The high and low points  reached over this period are used as levels where a break is anticipated to occur.

GBPUSD strategy example

A long and short order are placed. These are triggered if the price breakouts out either above or below the identified range.

The price breakout is anticipated to be accompanied by momentum. This builds as traders wake up to the new price action and re-position their orders in the direction of the move.

Managing this trade will At this point momentum is anticipated to increase as traders jump on board the new market momentum. A tight stop loss level is placed just below the bottom of the lower level of the range.

It is important to note that the trade entry level is set a little beyond the actual range top. This is done so that the orders are not triggered by false market move. This helps to confirm the move. For a similar reason the stop orders are placed only a small distance from the entry level. This helps to ensure that the trade is exited quickly if the initial move subsequently reverses.

False Breakout Trade Example

Here we look at a false breakout trade using the same criteria for entry as in the previous example.

In this example we have again used the GBP/USD and the overnight range as the potential breakout levels.

false breakout trading strategy example

 

The term ‘false breakout’ is used to describe a trading setup where initially the move looks like a conventional break in the market will occur. However instead, the market initially moves in the opposite direction to the expected break. It then reverses and heads in the expected direction.

This type of move will often occur when the price is pushed to take out stop orders.

To take advantage of this move, orders are placed to be triggered in the opposite direction of the expected break. A price target is set inside the range and a stop level above the order entry level.

Considerations

Day trading breakouts makes for an effective and potentially rewarding strategy.

As with any daily trading strategy, there are times when the success rate is better than others. Market conditions change so it is important to keep a watch on price action.

We covered the key benefits of this method above. To summarize it offers one of the easiest, most time efficient and potentially profitable ways in which to trade.

However the success of this approach will come down to the the levels of risk to reward on each trade.

For this reason the best breakout trading strategy will be the one that defines a framework of rules and is traded according to a plan. For example, sticking to market opening times when volume is at is height will increase the probability that a break will follow through.